Effective Travel Time Estimation: When Historical Trajectories over Road Networks Matter

Abstract

In this paper, we study the problem of origin-destination (OD) travel time estimation where the OD input consists of an OD pair and a departure time. We propose a novel neural network based prediction model that fully exploits an important fact neglected by the literature - for a past OD trip its travel time is usually affiliated with the trajectory it travels along, whereas it does not exist during prediction. At the training phase, our goal is to design novel representations for the OD input and its affiliated trajectory, such that they are close to each other in the latent space. First, we match the OD pairs and their affiliated (historical) trajectories to road networks, and utilize road..